Food Water Energy Climate

By 2030 – 15 years from now

@ 46:04 on the video timeline

Food +40% needed

Water +40% needed

Energy +55% needed

Emissions +37% emitted.

By 2050 – 34 years from now

@ 50:40 on the video timeline

Food +60% needed

Water +55% needed

Energy +80% needed

Emissions +52% emitted.

Climate Change And Global Food Security

One billion people are malnourished today, 95% in tropical countries.

Many crops in the tropics/sub-tropics are already beyond optimal grow temps.

Impacts on Food Of Increased Temperatures Only
@ 55:00 on timeline.

Wheat, rice, maize crop yields will decrease 10% / 1°C of warming.

Yield reductions of 30-40% by 2100 in India, South Africa and Middle East.

Increased yield volatility in world bread baskets by 2050.

Decline of snow packs will increase even if precipitation doesn’t change.

Loss of arable land due to sea water contaminating ground water in coastal areas.

Crop losses due to pests will be felt most in bread basket areas worldwide.

Higher temperatures will decrease nutritional content of crops.

Higher temperatures will increase disease transmission.

Impacts On Food Of Changing Precipitation
@ 57:57 on timeline.

Most areas with increased rainfall will be over oceans and uninhabited areas by 2100.

Europe, Africa and the Middle East will suffer a 10-20% decrease in rainfall by 2050.

Europe, Africa and the Middle East will suffer a 30% decrease in rainfall by 2100.

The Dust Bowl was caused by a 7% drop in rainfall.

The frequency and intensity of droughts will increase.

Decline of snow packs will increase even if precipitation doesn’t change.

The frequency and intensity of flooding will increase.

Crop yields will be reduced and some places will have to abandon staple crops.

Monsoon seasons are shorter & more intense which will devastate rice yields.

More intense rainfall on drier soils leeches more nutrients from soils.

Conclusion:

We are asked to believe we can grow 50% more food with 40% less water and 30% less soil while pest, temperature and rainfall anomalies will decrease yields ++20%.

We are asked to believe we can reduce emissions and increase energy demand 50% by 2030 and 80% by 2050.

And BeezleyBillyBub said, “Behold this miracle for I shall make you fishers of men.”

Do you remember what I said a couple of posts ago about how ridiculous all projections are because everything is always changing? Did you know there’s evidence that climate can change 1000X faster than now? The climate can also change 1 degree per year and then jump dramatically to a new higher temperature plateau in less than a decade. Now imagine all these food-water-energy-emissions projections during abrupt climate change. Watch as James Lovelock, explains.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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