The Energy Cock Block *

“Texas A&M researchers modelled all the projected growth in global populations and per capita energy consumption, as well as the size of known reserves of oil, coal and natural gas, and greenhouse gas emissions to determine just how difficult it will be to achieve the less-than-2 degree Celsius warming goal.
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“It would require rates of change in our energy infrastructure and energy mix that have never happened in world history and that are extremely unlikely to be achieved.
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“Just considering wind power, we found that it would take an annual installation of 485,000 5-megawatt wind turbines by 2028. The equivalent of about 13,000 were installed in 2015. That’s a 37-fold increase in the annual installation rate in only 13 years to achieve just the wind power goal,” adds Glenn Jones, co-author with Kevin Warner.
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Similar expansion rates are needed for other renewable energy sources.
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Every hour of every day:
• 3.7 million barrels of oil are extracted from the Earth
• 932,000 tons of coal are removed from Earth
• 395 million cubic meters of natural gas are removed from Earth
• 4.1 million tons of carbon dioxide are put into the Earth’s atmosphere
• 9,300 more people inhabit the Earth
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The 21st Century Population-Energy-Climate Nexus
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* If you can afford the $20 to download the pdf, please send me a copy.
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GRACE – Tracking Water From Space
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Danger Will Robinson
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6 thoughts on “The Energy Cock Block *

  1. As before mentioned, this grim study leaves unstated just what the total energy demand is and is going to be. To not consider all the non-electrical energy demands in relation to the discussed renewable initiatives outlined is to just muddy the already confusing waters.

    Liked by 1 person

  2. B says:

    http://m.slashdot.org/story/307197

    Sci-hub.io
    In case this link doesn’t work:

    http://www.sciencedirect.com.sci-hub.io/science/article/pii/S0301421516300830

    Let’s hope I don’t go down like Barrett Brown for that.
    You ever watch Kevin Anderson (UK professor)? In lots of his lectures on the YouTube he likes to frame it from a consumption standpoint. There’s really a relatively small number of people consuming a lot of energy. If you can convince them to stop rolling the dice on humanity’s future for a private jet then we might be alright. But then you can watch “The Wolf of Wall Street”, “The Big Short” or any reality show with “Housewives” in the title and you know how good those chances are.

    Even without going down that path, let’s pretend there were actual adults who could wave magic wands to pass laws and enact reforms globally. Well then, there’s got to be some hard numbers on how many calories of food you can produce and distribute while staying within a carbon budget.

    Either way, from the supply or demand side there’s going to be gaps.

    Liked by 1 person

    • colinc says:

      Thank you very kindly for both those links, B! I see the comment section at Slashdot is as inane (in general) as it ever was (similar to most anywhere else). However, that second link (to the paper RC had requested) is absolutely “Da bomb!” (How the hell have I, at 63 yrs of age, picked-up such an abjectly extraneous colloquialism? Things that make me go, “Hmmmm?”) Nonetheless, sincere thanks and “Good on ya’, mate!” for providing that link to the article on sci-hub.io, truly outstanding. Pretty much confirms, in spades, everything RC has been regurgitating since listening to his dog. Kudos and more to both of you!!! Again, may all your lawns be lush… unless, of course, you’re averse to that! 🙂

      Liked by 1 person

  3. colinc says:

    Thanks for that GRACE video, RC. I find it telling that that video has been up for nearly 3 years (just 34-35 days shy) yet only has 3,773 views. By my reckoning, that amounts to just a fraction more than 3 views per day. Alas, that goes hand-in-hand with the observation that learning (aka becoming “informed”) is “hard” and far too few are willing to make the effort while believing (aka remaining “ignorant”) is “easy” which is the path chosen by the multitude. Keep up the good works, even though they’re unlikely to make much, if any, “difference.” May your lawns be lush (unless, of course, that necessitates “unwanted” work)! 🙂

    Liked by 1 person

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