Your TGIF Morning Collapse

It cracks me up when cities say they’re taking the lead on climate mitigation. But the real action is out on the farm. People in cities imagine they can grow vegetables in skyscrapers, but they can’t grow grains there. Humans are made of soil. Soil is where we come from, and soil is where we go back to, sooner or later, even if you burn your corpse. Without soil and trees, earth will die. The oceans are now dying and losing oxygen faster than ever. When atmospheric carbon hits 1,500 ppm, oxygen and oceans will start to drift off into space and earth will eventually lose its atmosphere and oceans. Life on the surface of earth will disappear without us.

The vacuum of space will once again kiss the surface of this planet and a weakening magnetic field facilitates this end. Mars lost its atmosphere when its magnetic pole flipped a couple billion years ago, but it only has a quarter of earth’s size, so its atmosphere was easily blown away by solar winds.

Before magnetic pole flip occurs, the planet’s magnetic field weakens first. This magnetic field protects us from the sun. It will be interesting to see the combined effect of a runaway greenhouse effect, weakening magnetic field and magnetic pole flip has on earth. Magnetic pole flip can happen as quickly as several years or it can drag on for a thousand or more. During this time the earth can have several poles instead of just two. These poles can slowly swirl around the earth to allow solar radiation to burn anything in their path. They can hang around for up to a decade in any one place. But, never mind. These are just the ramblings of an old man who daydreams too much. Anyhow…

The way we grow our grains is literally strip mining the soil while killing the soil microbes in what gets left behind. The birds and insects are poisoned and the herbicides kill anything else that wants to grow there. The fertilizers, antibiotics and drugs wash into the oceans to choke off life there. Soil puts life on earth and we are destroying soil faster than ever before.

To feed humanity we need to grow more food over the next 50 years than we grew in all of the last 500 years, combined. To do this we need 12 million acres of new soil every year for 30 years, but we are actually losing 24 million acres per year. We are losing good soil twice as fast as we need to accumulate it. When the cheap fertilizers are gone, so will be the soil. The weather is getting crazier faster and we lose more soil in 15 minutes of hard rain, than we do for the rest of the year and when it’s not washing away, it’s drying up.

Not only are we losing soil, we are losing water as well. Demand will exceed water by 40% in 10 years or so. The droughts, floods and storms will hit food in something like 5 years give or take. All this is happening while the wizards at the IPCC say we need 1 billion acres of additional new farmland to get carbon-negative energy from plants.  The trees in the rainforests are being replaced by grasslands upsetting ancient sky rivers and carbon cycles. The climate is now reeling beyond our control.

We’re heading into overdrive. We hope that ol’ El Nino is to blame for the heat jump, and we maybe catch a breather for a year or two, but there is a constellation of accelerating feedbacks tipping over right now. That’s why even though human emissions have been flat for a couple of years, carbon in the atmosphere keeps going up. We are losing 3 oxygen molecules in our atmosphere for each carbon dioxide molecule that is produced when we burn fossil fuels. The ball’s in nature’s court now, and we’re gonna git slammed.

Climate change escalating so fast it is ‘beyond point of no return’

Scientists have long feared this ‘feedback’ to the climate system. Now they say it’s happening

Carbon dioxide released by soil could undermine climate efforts Christian Science Monitor

Expect Climate Catastrophe: Paris Agreement Lacks Enforcement Forbes

Climate change will stir ‘unimaginable’ refugee crisis, says military

Columbia Glacier Retreat

Plastic island: How our trash is destroying paradise

Bottlenose dolphins found with record-high levels of mercury

Power Politics and the Environment: Destruction of the South China … The McGill International Review

Parents warned over taking babies outside in London as air pollution levels soar

About 350 victims have reported child sexual abuse within UK football clubs

1 million Google accounts compromised by Android malware called Gooligan ars technica

Italy Enters New Period of Political Uncertainty Roubini

The Propaganda About Russian Propaganda New Yorker


The New Red Scare Andrew Cockburn

Global Bonds Suffer Worst Monthly Meltdown as $1.7 Trillion Lost (BBG)
What’s Causing The Fire Sale In The Bond Market (CNBC)
Donald Trump Promises to Usher In New ‘Industrial Revolution’ (WSJ)
Trump Will End Growth-Zapping Fiscal Austerity – McCulley (CNBC)
China’s Central Bank Is Facing a Major New Headache (BBG)
Rural China Banks With $4 Trillion Assets Face Debt Test (BBG)
Obama Set To Block Chinese Takeover Of German Semiconductor Supplier (BBG)
QE Infinity Eyed In Europe If Renzi Loses Crucial Italian Referendum (CNBC)
December 4 Could Trigger the “Most Violent Economic Shock in History” (IM)
How Putin, Khamenei And Saudi Prince Got OPEC Deal Done (R.)
Russian Oil Output Near Post-Soviet Record as It Prepares to Cut (BBG)
US Veterans Arrive At Pipeline Protest Camp In North Dakota (R.)
Joy As China Shelves Plans To Dam ‘Angry River’ (G.)
World’s Growing Inequality Is ‘Ticking Time Bomb’: Nobel Laureate Yunus (R.)
This Is The Most Dangerous Time For Our Planet (Stephen Hawking)




2 thoughts on “Your TGIF Morning Collapse

  1. Pintada says:

    Really enjoy your site, but there is a factual truth and absurd conclusion in the Friday post. You correctly state that for every 1 new CO2 molecule, 3 O2 molecules are used up. The problem comes from the fact that the atmosphere is about 21% oxygen while the atmosphere contains about 400 ppm of CO2.

    400 molecules of CO2 for every 1,000,000 molecules of air
    21 molecules of O2 for every 100 molecules of air –>
    210000 molecules of O2 for every 1,000,000 molecules of air

    So for every CO2 molecule, there are 525 molecules of oxygen. Burning all the oil and coal on the planet would not materially change the amount of O2 available. Humanity will be long dead of habitat loss well before the O2 number would matter anyway.

    Tripling the amount of CO2 in the air to 1200 ppm will kill every mammal on the planet but would use up only 800 * 3 => 3200ppm of the available O2. The O2 concentration would drop to ~17% even if all of that CO2 was to come from burning fossil fuels. The CO2 concentration will reach that level, but will come from arctic soils, and methane clathrates.

    Please don’t worry about running out of O2.

    Second, the poles have flipped hundreds of times in the past, and there is still plenty of O2 around. The earth will shrug humanity off like a bad fever, and be just fine for hundreds of millions of years into the future.

    Liked by 1 person

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