Same as the old imperialism,
but more righteous
• Ozone Fraud • Pollution Fraud
• Extinction Fraud • Academic Fraud
• Loki Fraud • Comments ° ₂
Battery and bio-energy extraction harms natives, water and wildlife worldwide
100% global energy transistions take decades to do — even under ideal conditons
Conditions are less than ideal
Europe’s renewable energy directive poised to harm global forests — Nature 2018
Renewable energy targets may undermine their sustainability – Nature 2020
- Reduced biodiversity due to land use changes
- Increased emissions due to land use changes
- Increased rare earth mining
Renewable energy production will exacerbate mining threats to biodiversity – Nature 2020
The social and environmental complexities of extracting energy transition metals – Nature 2020
The quest for renewable energy could wreak havoc on wildlife – Mic 2020
Mining needed for renewable energy ‘could harm biodiversity’ — Guardian 2020
Energy Transition: The Conflict Implications for Mineral-Rich, Fragile States – Springer 2020
Green Conflict Minerals — IISD 2018
Review of critical metal dynamics to 2050 for 48 elements – Science Direct 2020
EU 2020 critical resources list — FT 2020
- The EU estimates that to meet its climate neutrality goal, it will need up to 18 times more lithium and five times more cobalt in 2030. The forecasts rise to 60 times more lithium and 15 times more cobalt by 2050
Harm caused by the European Union’s current bioenergy in developing countries — ResearchGate 2016
20% of countries at risk of ecosystem collapse — Swiss Re
West’s ‘Dust Bowl’ Future now ‘Locked In’, as World Risks Imminent Food Crisis — Nafeez Ahmed 2020
‘Carbon-neutrality is a fairy tale’: how the race for renewables is burning Europe’s forests — Guardian 2021
A triple-threat of climate change, biodiversity loss and overpopulation hitting Earth — LiveScience 2021
Top scientists warn of ‘ghastly future of mass extinction’ and climate disruption — Guardian 2020
- The second consecutive time governments have failed to meet their 10-year biodiversity goals
Efforts to protect nature on a global scale have failed spectacularly – AFP 2020
- 20 targets set by the same UN body a decade ago have all been badly missed
Raw material use to double by 2060 with severe environmental consequences — OECD 2018
- 2017 – 2018 China poured more cement in 2 years than did the US in 100
2050 Wind power targets require 11X – 26X increase in rare earth production — Cell 2020
Market for ‘magnet rare earth oxides’ to increase 5X by 2030 — Rare Earth Investing News 2020
- The rapid rise in EV sales will fuel a 275% increase in demand for rare earths used in passenger EV traction motors between 2019 and 2025, and a further 124% increase in demand between 2025 and 2030
‘Astronomical’ rare earth demand growth forecast – Engineering News 2020
- “The value of global magnet rare earth oxide consumption will rise five-fold by 2030. Where the rate of demand growth for magnet rare earths would soon reach “escape velocity” – a point in yearly demand growth where it is so great that it is simply implausible for the already-lagging supply-side to catch up and keep up”
Europe burns 80% of wood pellet shipments for “renewable” electricity — Science Alert 2018
Burning trees for electricity produces 30% more C02 than burning coal — WRI 2017
65% of palm oil in Europe is burned — OFI 2019
- 53% of palm oil was burned in vehicles
- 12% was used to generate electricity and heating
- Palm oil used in biodiesel grew in 2018 by 3%
- Palm oil in food and animal feed dropped by 11%
Indonesia’s biofuel bid threatens more deforestation for oil palm plantations — Mongabay 2020
Europe burns 40% of its recycled plastic and paper for “recycled” electricity — Nat Geo 2018
EU renewable energy policy subsidizes surge in logging of Estonia’s protected areas — Mongabay 2020
Brazilians impacted by mining : Genocide legalized by the state — Mongabay 2020
Palm oil, coca and gangs close in on Colombia’s Indigenous Nukak Makú — Mongabay 2020
Sustainable certified palm oil linked to worse social, ecological outcomes for natives – Mongabay 2020
Report finds litany of labor abuses on RSPO-certified oil palm plantations — Mongabay 2020
Land inequality is worsening and fueling other social ills — Mongabay 2020
- The top 10% of the rural population captures 60% of agricultural land value, while the bottom 50% only control 3% of land value, while the wealthy fuel land water and wildlife destruction
Campaign group raises biodiesel concerns over soybean cultivation — Biofuels News 2020
Fire-Resistant Tropical Forest on Brink of Disappearance — Science Daily 2020
Global wood pellet production grew from 2 Mt in 2000 to 30 Mt in 2016 — Wiley 2017
Critical temperature threshold spells shorter lives for tropical trees — Mongabay 2020
- Rising temperatures as a result of climate change are making tropical forests hotter, which translates into shorter life spans for tropical tree species
Intense Boreal Forest Fires a Climate Concern — WRI 2020
no trees = no air — PNAS 2015
10 Top Biofuel Crops — How Stuff Works undated
Net Zero And Carbon 0ffset Busted — Climate News 2020
We cut 15 billion trees per year, plant 5 billion, lose 10 billion per year — Tree Nation 2020
- Net losses as high as 1 football field per second
Sweden burns rubbish for electricity and food waste as bio gas fuel — Sweden Nature 2020
Europe burns almost 50% of its palm oil imports in cars and trucks — Ecologistas en Acción 2016
UN agency hit with corruption allegations at climate projects — FT 2020
UN-backed climate fund faces wave of abuse allegations — FT 2020
Up to 75% of carbon offsets are fraud — ProPublica 2019
4% of mammals are wild by weight — Loki 2020
Water Stress Threatens Near 50% of World’s Thermal Power Plant Capacity – WRI 2017
30% of planned hydro projects threatened by water stress – WWF 2020
44 % of existing coal power plants are in areas with high water stress — Unearthed 2016
Dams produce more methane than rice plantations and biomass burning – Guardian 2016
Dams harm estuary wetlands – Science Advances 2019
Wind Turbine Blades Can’t Be Recycled – Bloomberg 2020
- We can recycle them, just like we recycle everything else
Greenhouse gases went up 45% in 30 years – NOAA 2020
By 2030 we’ll have 120% more fossil fuel than needed to stay under 1.5°C – UN 2019
Vaclav Smil says energy transitions take at least 75 years – Energy Skeptic 2018
Demand for battery metals to jump 500% by 2050 — Northern Miner 2020
- Even if recycling rates are scaled up by 100%, it would still not be enough to meet the demand for renewable energy technologies and energy storage
Mineral production to soar as demand for clean energy increases – World Bank 2020
- Production of minerals, such as graphite, lithium and cobalt, could increase by nearly 500% by 2050
- These projections do not include the associated infrastructure
- Because of the material intensity of low-carbon tech, any shortages in mineral supply wil impact the speed and scale of deployment
Recycling
The EV Battery Recycling Time Bomb — Wired 2020
The Solar Panel Recycling Time Bomb — PV Mag 2020
The Wind Turbine Blade Recycling Time Bomb — Bloomberg 2020
Technically all three can be recycled, but not practically. If you throw enough money, time and energy at something, you can recycle almost anything. But that doesn’t mean it can be scaled up or worthwhile
EV Waste — National Observer 2021
Utility scale energy storage has a long way to go to make renewables possible — Energy Skeptic
Vaclav Smil said the following in 2019
- North Euro offshore wind turbines work 30% of the time
- North Euro onshore wind turbines work 22% of the time
- One of them offshore Texas would work 35% of the time
- North Euro solar panels work 11% of the time
- Wind turbine plans for 2030 = 800 million tons of coal
Solar & wind do not matter at 11% of energy use
Vaclav Smil Explains Why batteries and EVs will take too long — Vaclav Smil 2019 YT @ 27:38
- Over 60 yrs jets are 68% more efficient and fly 60 times more passengers says Smil
- 2.63 billion air trips were taken in 2010 — 4.4 billion in 2018 – 8 billion by 2050
1968 – 1992 heat forcing averaged 1 Hiroshima nuke / sec — Skeptical Science 2014
1998 – 2020 heating averaged 5 nukes / sec — Skeptical Science 2020
Accelerated Global Warming — James Hansen and Makiko Sato 2020
- Since 1970 earth heated 0.18 °C /decade
- The last 5 years jumped above that trendline
You are now standing on the doorstep of the 1.5 C threashold — Paul Beckwith YT 2021
- Earth is now 1.25 °C hotter than 1900, based on 30 yr averages
- Earth grew 0.3 °C hotter from 1750 to 1900, based on proxy data
- Earth is already 1.55 °C hotter than 1750
Fossil fuels have been 80% of energy since 1971 — Quartz 2017
Fossil fuels remained 80% of global energy for over 25 years – Climate Change News 2019
Vaclav Smil says fossils were 91% in 1990 ~ 83% in 2020
2018 : 2% of global energy is solar and wind – IEA 2020
- The above link has an interactive graph
- Solar & Wind are 286,377 ktoe of some 14,000,000 ktoe of total energy
- ktoe = kilotonnes of oil equivalent
2018 : Geothermal solar wind etc are 2% of energy — Statista 2020
2018 : 4% of energy is renewable – WSJ BP 2019
2040 : 15% of global energy will be renewable – IEA 2019
2040 : 15% of global energy will be renewable – BP 2019
2040 : 15% of global energy will be renewable – Statista 2020
2040 = 24% of global energy will be electricity – IEA 2019
- 20% in 2020 — 24% by 2040 — say 30% by 2050
2050 : 28% of global energy will be renewable – EIA 2019
Weather = flash flood + flash drought + flash mob + flash infection
Climate = 30 years of bad weather
Solution:
James Hansen’s 100% private monthly carbon dividend scales of efficiency
- Private monthly dividends can scale up faster than renewable energy
- The more we do it the better we get at it
- 100% private means 0% for governments & corporations
I live in Canada who own near 50% of the world’s mines and host 75% of mining companies
The Hole Story — Canadian mining history doc 69 min NFB 2011 = shocking
United Nations Sustainable Development Goals and Climate Goals work at cross purposes — Science Daily 2020
The top threats to supply chains a few years ago were hacking & cybersecurity. This decade it will likely be epidemics and more frequent, larger food and water shortages through 2030
Power, water and climate — Science Daily
- Higher air conditioning loads and decreased hydropower availability threatens electric energy
Too few companies disclose financial hit from climate change — Reuters 2020
Global food production at risk of simultaneous heat waves across breadbasket regions — Potsdam 2019
66% of people will live in water stressed areas by 2025 -– Nat Geo 2020
Global warming is ‘Locked In’ and will blow past 2 °C — AP 2020
World faces long-term oil supply gap despite covid demand destruction and renewable eneregy — Reuters 2020
- A bigger faster oil gap means more wood coal and gas will burn despite covids and renewables
- Much of the coal will be turned into gas in Asia to fight air pollution
- 10 yrs fighting air pollution in China raised global north temps 0.1 C
- Petrochemical use grew 7X the human population rate from 1998 – 2018
Meanwhile…
US Energy Vulnerabilities To Climate Extremes — Energy gov 2013
20% of countries at risk of ecosystem collapse — Swiss Re
Wetlands Disappearing 3X Faster than Forests — UN 2018
Inland sea and lake levels globally will drop and often dramatically — Nature 2020
U.S. farms could lose 8X more soil than Dust Bowl by 2035 — UCS 2020
Water Availability Per Capita Down 20% in 20 years affecting 3 billion people – FAO 2020
The Fresh Water Crisis – Nat Geo 2020
- 1 hamburger = 600 gallons of water
1.9 billion people at risk from mountain water shortages — Guardian 2019
4 billion people now live at least one month per year under SEVERE water stress – Research Gate 2020
Expect More Mega-Droughts — Science Daily 2020
Climate change: US megadrought ‘already under way’ — BBC 2020
4 billion people live one month per year in water shressed areas – Sci Adv 2016
Water use for fracking has risen by up to 770% since 2011 – Science Daily 2018
Water Stress Threatens Near 50% of World’s Thermal Power Plant Capacity – WRI 2017
44% of Coal Plants Risk Global Water Shortage – Unearthed 2016
30% of planned hydro projects threatened by water stress – WWF 2020
Fracking dewaters drinking water aquifers – Global Energy Monitor 2009
Fracking has less impact on groundwater than traditional enhanced recovery oil — Phy Org 2019
- Both fracking and conventional enhanced oil & gas use lots of water
10 Facts About the World Water Crisis — Lifewater 2020
Loki's Revenge 